Thursday, March 26, 2009

Season 11 Draft Crop

When I first saw the board I thought it was a very good draft board for some. I really thought there would be a good mix of College and High School players for once. However, judging from the first round picks, the draft actually favored college in a way. I went for a 16/10 split favoring College this year for and I didn't even come close to the players I thought I might get because 11 of the first 15 picks came out of the college ranks. I do like the split as I don't see many High School players but they are a bit hard to judge where they belong sometimes. I did figure out that most HS players have a projected overall that is at least 4 points high in most cases and can't be trusted at all because it could swing 5 to 10 points in any direction on any rating. The bad part is that a draft could lean to the best prospects being High School as opposed to College.

This year I am grading the draft picks a little differently than in the past. I have always dinged players with poor health in the physical ratings but this year I will be judging the physical ratings more harshly. The reason is they seem to be used more and more in in-game performance if you haven't noticed. I have always graded the defensive ratings harshly so no news there and will be graded as to the position that shows up on the draft history report. Pitchers will be graded much more harshly as I have set criteria but won't be picking on left handed pitchers as much. So, without further ado:


18 Pitchers taken
4 SS taken
5 2B taken
1 1B taken
1 3B taken
1 RF taken
1 CF taken
1 C taken

1. Greg Woods, SS, Oklahoma City Kevin Durants - The first pick of the draft and a damn good one at that.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Could end up being a little light for SS
Hitting: What a monster at the plate to deep CF, pitchers just may flat out walk him
Pitching: N/A
Organization: ungraded with 2 unknown

2. Josh Towers, P, Washington D.C. Senators - Scouts say he could be good but has problems with weak pitches after the first one
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

3. Alfredo Henriquez, 2B, Omaha Lancers - A good defensive power hitting 2B and light CF.
Physical: Good, has poor makeup
Defense: Very Good
Hitting: Good, will try to take advantage of the SS/3B gap and LF wall.
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B could be higher if 2nd round pick signs and is worth it

4. Jim Matthews, P, Helena Hot Pockets - A very good pitcher and will be quick to the ML level with outstanding stamina, control and splits but pitches are another story. May not be an ace but very close. A PC catcher will help.
Physical: Good but durability will cause a 6 man rotation
Defense: Very Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Pitch 2 and 4 are whimpy
Organization: A freaking plus - that is what he wanted for a draft well done

5. Harry Cora, RF, Florida Marlins - A great offensive and defensive pick.
Physical: Very Good and a base stealing threat
Defense: Very Good
Hitting: A monster power gap hitter, could be a bit weak against lefties
Pitching: N/A
Organization: A+ got a good pitcher in the 2nd round

6. Andy Fassero, SS, Santa Cruz Caballeros - Scouts says he is a true power hitting SS but could have problems attaining projections with a poor patience.
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

7. Pepper Inge, P, New York Mets - A very good pitcher with outstanding stamina, control and splits, pitches could be a problem. A PC catcher will be needed.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: First two pitches a bit light
Organization: C+ as there are some possibilities

8. Cookie Eyre, P, Philadelphia Athletics - Good control, splits,and out pitch
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Very Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Good, bad 2nd and 3rd pitch
Organization: C+ valiant attempt at trying to find ML pitching that came up margeinal

9. Turner Ferrell, P, Detroit Detroit - A very good pitcher with outstanding stamina, control and splits. Pitches are a bit awkward as his setup pitch is his best and his throw away pitch could be a little too good. Will probably get lit up in the minors for a while and a PC catcher may be needed.
Physical: Good, make up and durability is light but adequate
Defense: Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Out pitch is light
Organization: B+ decent draft overall

10. Johnny Collier, P, Vancouver Canadians - The first pitcher that actually projects to be an actual ace pitching wise.
Physical: Bad health and patience.
Defense: Outstanding, he could play COF if he could hit
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Could be slow to attain and maintain late in young career
Organization: B+ hope on the first pick but the rest were pretty decent

11. Neil Rigdon, C, Austin Fightin' Armadillos - Always like good catchers in the first round. He is no Bart Ross but he will be good.
Physical: Good, makeup a little light but adequate
Defense: Glove is weak
Hitting: Monster power pull hitter to LF and RF
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B not bad at all

12. Bernard Shelley, CF, Pittsburgh Pirates - CF/2B doesn't matter as his defensive skills should be quick to attain ML levels and GG status.
Physical: Good, patience a little light
Defense: Outstanding
Hitting: Mainly heavy doubles and singles hitter through 2B or SS
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B followed up with plausible pen help

13. Matty Rijo, P, Tampa Bay Rays - Unknown
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

14. Mel White, P, Dover Dung Beetles - Scouts give a two thumbs up for this shut down closer
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

15. Kane North, SS, Salt Lake City Multiple Spouses - Scouts say he is a true power hitting SS but hitting style may not provide sought after power numbers.
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

16. Deivi Silva, 2B, Cleveland Indians - Power hitting LF in the end
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Bad for 2B
Hitting: Power hitting CF
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B will go up to an A+ if 3rd round pick signs, 2nd round was a coup with maybe the 2nd best catcher

17. Javy Nunez, 1B, Trenton Ball Hogs - The last big power hitter on the board already.
Physical: Good, Health a little light and patience is lacking
Defense: Weak and would make better DH
Hitting: Power pull hitter to RF or LF and a bit weak against lefties
Pitching: N/A
Organization: C+ not all that bad really, it was that ugly 5th pick

18. Victor Grieve, P, Salem Volcanoes - A long reliever with very good control and splits with pitches being so so. Could be tough to make projections given durability and stamina.
Physical: Good but durability very light
Defense: weak range
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: pitches not so hot
Organization: C mainly because I didn't care much for the first pick

19. Abraham Hart, P, Toronto Blue Jays - Great stamina, splits and pitches for a power pitcher.
Physical: Very good
Defense: Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Control could cause problems
Organization: C all those picks and not a real good return on investment

20. John Lennon, P, Texas Rangers - Great stamina, control and splits, but some awful pitches. Maybe Yoko can help.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Weak
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: A PC catcher will be a must
Organization: C not an exciting first pick but there are a couple after that show promise.

21. Pedro Vazquez, P, Santa Fe Good Will - Good stamina and control but some really weak pitches.
Physical: Good but makeup light
Defense: Adequate
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Not a first round pick
Organization: C- Not good when a couple closers look better than the first pick

22. Tarrik Jenkins, 3B, New York Yankees - too weak to play 3B but can play COF but is a decent hitter with light stealing capabilities
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Poor for 3B
Hitting: Most singles and doubles to 1B/2B gap
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B+ went young and found a nice trove of talent

23. Lou Corey, SS, St. Louis Barracudas - A good hitting defensive SS is hard to come by and this one almost fills the bill. 2B and 3B is not out of the question.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Weak accuracy
Hitting: An up the middle singles hitter
Pitching: N/A
Organization: C after the first pick things turned for the worse when the 2nd pick wanted more than he is worth.

24. Felipe Ozuna, P, Louisville Swingers - Good stamina, somewhat good control, good splits and a good out pitch.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Good if he doesn't try throwing to second on a bunt
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Weak secondary pitches, A PC catcher is order
Organization: B- some are good some are bad in all those picks

25. Daryl Young, P, Milwaukee Brewers - Good Stamina, control and adequate splits and two decent enough pitches. Setup or long closer.
Physical: Durability is good, patience is very bad
Defense: Can't use a glove
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Second pitch is a little light to be shut down power closer and a slow PC catcher will help. How do ya find one of those..huh? huh?
Organization: C- Looking for pitching help and coming up empty

26. Alfredo Guerrero, 2B, Las Vegas Slobs - Not a 2B by a long shot but could be a COF with ease. Too bad his IQ doesn't match his speed or one might have a decent power lead off hitter.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Poor
Hitting: average eye and average vsR but power up the middle hitter.
Pitching: N/A
Organization: C failed trying to fill pitching late but 3rd rounder looks good

27. T.J. O'Brien, 2B, Chicago Cubs - Unknown
Physical:
Defense:
Hitting:
Pitching:
Organization:

28. Milt Aldridge, P, Houston Astros - Great control, splits and pitches
Physical: Bad, poor durability could be tough to make projections
Defense: Adequate
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Would have made a good setup or closer
Organization: Back to draft school

29. Cesar Cortez, P, Toronto Blue Jays - Good Stamina and control but that is where things stop.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Very Good
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Weak splits and pitches for first round
Organization: C it looks bad when the 3rd and 4th round picks look better than the 3 supplementals

30. Brandon Miles, P, Atlanta Pork-N-Beans - Great Stamina, Control and Pitches. Good ingredients for a pen pitcher.
Physical: Good but patience and makeup a little light
Defense: Weak range
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: Maybe the best pitcher in the draft overall
Organization: B- Stayed away from pitchers and got some nice talent

31. Toby Sefcik, 2B, Monterrey Corn Dogs - 2B is not the place for him, but where to put him could be a problem with his weak glove, maybe RF.
Physical: Good
Defense: Weak glove
Hitting: A singles and doubles hitter that will hit the 1B and 3B gap.
Pitching: N/A
Organization: B- Corn Dogs got shafted on the 2nd pick..WIS draft guru doesn't like you.

32. Ronnie Anderson, P, Cincinnati Reds - Ok, how does erff do it? Good stamina, control, splits and somewhat good pitches.
Physical: Very Good
Defense: Weak range
Hitting: N/A
Pitching: At least pitch 2 is weak
Organization: A+ How about finding that much talent with late picks.

Analysis: It seems to have been a pitchers draft, but just about all the pitchers had a severe flaw somewhere in the pitching ratings. To go with that, there were only 4 or 5 super hitters but not much more.

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