Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Minor League World Series Analysis

AAA

#1 Las Vegas Slobs (100-44) vs #4 Cincinnati Reds (84-60)

This seems to be an unlikely match up for a WS, but it is the way the ball bounces sometimes that propels a team onward. The Slobs powered their way in with pitching while the Reds with hitting. The Slobs feature their AAA Cy Young and Fireman of the Year
award winners. Expect a lot of close games in this series.

Offense: Edge to the Reds - Season Avg: Slobs: .284 Reds: .309
Defense: Edge to the Slobs - Season Avg: Slobs: .986 Reds: .984
Pitching: Edge to the Slobs - Season Avg: Slobs: 4.57 Reds: 5.40
Coaching: Edge to the Slobs

Key to Victory: Whoever gets the timely hits or lucky bounces will win this series.

Odds: No Line
Although it seemingly shows the Slobs as the better team, the Slobs has not shown they can hit consistently with their unimpressive .284 season and .222 post season totals.

Game 1: Reds 1 Slobs 4
Game 2: Reds 5 Slobs 2
Game 3: Reds 6 Slobs 2
Game 4: Reds 3 Slobs 4
Game 5: Reds 4 Slobs 8
Game 6: Reds 6 Slobs 2
Game 7: Reds 3 Slobs 4

Slobs 4 to 3

AA

#2 Rochester Flurries (86-58) vs #2 Omaha Larrupin Lous (95-49)

The Flurries bring their AA Cy Young award winner and a runner up while the Lous have 2 runner ups. This could well be the best minor league WS match up. Although the hitting edge extremely favors the Lous, post season play has seen the Flurries out hit everyone and just the reverse in the pitching. This series could very well boil down to home field advantage. Expect a couple close games and a couple blowouts on both sides.

Offense: Edge to the Lous - Season Avg: Flurries : .296 Lous: .321
Defense: Even - Season Avg: Flurries : .980 Lous: .981
Pitching: Edge to the Flurries - Season Avg: Flurries : 4.34 Lous: 4.53
Coaching: Even

Key to Victory: The key to any teams success is who can pitch, hit and play defense the best consistently. Both teams in essence do that.

Odds: Lous 2 to 1
Lous are favored due to their season record only.

Game 1: Flurries 5 Lous 6 13 innings
Game 2: Flurries 17 Lous 7
Game 3: Flurries 3 Lous 2 14 innings
Game 4: Flurries 3 Lous 4
Game 5: Flurries 5 Lous 7
Game 6: Flurries 19 lous 15
Game 7: Flurries 7 Lous 6 14 innings

Flurries 4 to 3

Hi A

#2 Monterrey Corn Dogs (95-94) vs Cincinnati Reds (104-40)

What box scores will look like in this WS should be long and exciting. This series could boil down to which pitching staff can best keep the ball in the park.

Offense: Edge to the Reds - Season Avg: Corn Dogs: .322 Reds: .330
Defense: Edge to the Reds - Season Avg: Corn Dogs: .972 Reds: .982
Pitching: Edge to the Corn Dogs - Season Avg: Corn Dogs: 5.06 Reds: 5.25
Coaching: Edge to the Corn Dogs

Key to Victory: Reds pitching must shut down the Corn Dogs power hitters. Corn Dogs pitching must shut off the Reds hitting attack and hold down the free bases.

Odds: Corn Dogs 3 to 1
Although the break down shows an even match up and the Reds with a better record. Gamblers Anonymous says the Corn Dogs two Silver Sluggers will make the difference.

Game 1: Corn Dogs 9 Reds 11
Game 2: Corn Dogs 1 Reds 3
Game 3: Corn Dogs 7 Reds 10
Game 4: Corn Dogs 9 Reds 10

Reds sweep

Lo A

#1
Rochester Flurries (119-25) vs #1 Chicago Cubs (95-49)

Could have a good match up with the Lo A AL and NL Cy Young award winners going head to head in game 1! However, the Flurries put 3 great runner ups in the rotation after that. The name of the game in this series is pitching and the Flurries has tooooooooooo much. I wouldn't expect the Cubs to score many runs as the Flurries didn't give up many and a 1.34 team WHIP doesn't help.

Offense: Edge to the Cubs - Season Avg: Flurries : .321 Cubs: .327
Defense: Edge to the Flurries - Season Avg: Flurries : .985 Cubs: .969
Pitching: Edge to the Flurries - Season Avg: Flurries: 3.70 Cubs: 4.89
Coaching: Edge to the Flurries

Key to Victory: Cubs must be flawless to win, Flurries just need to do what they do best.

Odds: Flurries 5 to 1

Game 1: Cubs 6 Flurries 3 Where was pitching match up?
Game 2: Cubs 8 Flurries 7
Game 3: Cubs 1 Flurries 2
Game 4: Cubs 6 Flurries 12
Game5: Cubs 3 Flurries 25
Game6: Cubs 3 Flurries 8

Flurries 4 to 2

Rookie League

#1 Texas Rangers (57-19) vs #1 Pittsburgh Pirates (65-11)

Both teams led their respective leagues in almost every category. The difference between the two is maturity. Most of the Rangers are youngsters just out of high school where the Pirates are college grads or junior college.

Offense: Edge to the Pirates - Season Avg: Rangers: .328 Pirates: .367
Defense: Even - Season Avg: Rangers: .972 Pirates: .974
Pitching: Edge to the Pirates - Season Avg: Rangers: 5.74 Pirates: 4.28
Coaching: Even

Key to Victory: Pitching must shut down the strong offenses, the team that does will win. Expect high scoring games.

Odds: Pirates 3 to 2

Game 1: Rangers 6 Pirates 10
Game 2: Rangers 6 Pirates 8
Game 3: Rangers 2 Pirates 6 13 innings
Game 4: Rangers 11 Pirates 7
Game 5: Rangers 11 Pirates 6
Game 6: Rangers 10 Pirates 13

Pirates 4 to 2

No comments: